Citigroup's profit jumped 40% and beat Wall Street's estimates on Tuesday.
Discussion
Its stock still closed down 5.6%.
The big banks kicked off earnings season and the reactions made very little sense if you only read the headlines. Citi earned $2.85 a share on $23.8 billion in revenue and fell 5.6% to $124.53. Wells Fargo beat on profit at $1.87 a share, but revenue came in at $21.87 billion against roughly $22.31 billion expected, and the stock dropped 3.1%. JPMorgan missed estimates for the first time in nearly three years ($5.57 a share against about $5.85 expected) and only slipped 0.8%.
Goldman Sachs was the real lesson. It blew past estimates with $17.01 a share, opened at $923 and traded as high as $930.88, then closed at $891.91, slightly down on the day. Anyone who chased that opening pop gave back more than 3% by the close. Meanwhile the S&P 500 barely moved, finishing at 7,805.45.
Jamie Dimon also put a number on the risk everyone is watching. With the 10-year Treasury yield around 5.2%, he said going from 5% to 6% "would be more painful than going from four to five," and that people need to be prepared for it, even though he isn't predicting it. September CPI lands today at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Before you trade around a big report:
- Decide your plan before the number comes out. A beat or a miss doesn't tell you which way the stock goes.
- Don't chase the opening gap. Wait for the first 30 minutes to show you whether the move holds.
- Set your stop and your size ahead of time. Event days can swing 3% to 5% in a single stock even when the index sits still.
That's what TradeShield is for: a plan you set when you're calm that protects you when the headlines don't make sense.
Stay sharp out there.
— Spidah, Founder & CEO
Market awareness, not financial advice. Trading involves risk.